Pinetop Capital

/GUIDE

How after repair value is determined on a financed flip

There are two numbers called ARV on every rehab deal: yours and the appraiser’s. The loan is sized on the second one.

01

Two numbers with the same name

After repair value is what a property should be worth once the renovation is finished. On a deal you pay for with cash, it is your own estimate and it only has to convince you. On a financed flip there is a second ARV: the one in the appraisal, and that is the number the loan is sized against.

So the useful question is not how to calculate ARV in the abstract. It is how after repair value is determined by the person whose opinion the lender relies on, and how to make your own estimate land near it.

02

How the appraiser gets there

The appraiser values the property as if the planned work were already complete. To do that it needs to know what the work is, which is why the scope of work, and plans where there are any, go to the appraiser along with the contract.

The value itself comes from comparable sales: recent sales of nearby homes, similar in size and layout, that are already in the finished condition yours will reach. Each comparable is adjusted for its differences from your property, and the adjusted figures are reconciled into one opinion of value.

Notice what is missing from that process. The renovation budget is not an input to value. Spending more does not raise the ARV unless buyers in that neighbourhood pay more for the result.

03

Where the two numbers drift apart

The commonest gap is the comparables. Investors tend to pick the best recent sale in the area, the one with the high-end kitchen on the quiet street. The appraiser picks the sales that most resemble your finished house, and if your finish level or your street is different, so is the answer.

Over-improving is the second. A finish level well above what the neighbourhood supports costs real money and often appraises at the neighbourhood’s ceiling, not above it.

The third is time. Comparables are by definition past sales. In a market that is softening, recent sales can still overstate what a finished house will sell for months from now, and the appraiser is looking at the same past sales you are.

04

The rule of thumb, and its limit

Flippers often screen deals with a rule of thumb that caps the purchase price at a fraction of the expected after repair value, minus the cost of the work. It is a quick filter and a reasonable one, but every input to it is an estimate, and the ARV is the softest of them.

A deal that only works if the appraisal agrees with your most optimistic comparable is not a deal with a margin. It is a deal with a hope.

05

What to put in front of the appraiser

A line-item scope of work, plans or specifications where they exist, and the comparable sales you relied on with a sentence on why each one fits. An appraiser is not bound by your comps, but a clear scope removes guesswork, and guesswork is read conservatively.

What happens after the purchase, from draws to the maturity date, is in the guide to what a bridge lender underwrites, and the hold-and-refinance version of the same deal is in the guide to how BRRRR financing works. Rehab lending on an investment property is business purpose, available in any state. Send the address, the purchase price, the scope and your comps for a first read. This is not a commitment to lend.

The program this applies to

Fix & flip / bridge

See who it’s for, how it works, and the common questions.

/programs/fix-flip-bridge

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